TL;DR KEY POINTS
THE BACKGROUND My life is great in a lot of ways: I’m lucky to have a wonderful family and many projects and activities which I enjoy, for example. Thankfully, then, I'm very happy with my life overall.
But despite that, one thing about my life can at times be very difficult and frustrating: being a judgment and decision making scholar. A judgment and decision making scholar—or a “JDM scholar” for short—is someone who professionally studies judgment and decision making: that is, someone who studies how we do, or how we should, make judgments and decisions. I’m a JDM scholar because I want to improve judgments and decisions, both the ones from myself and those from others in their domains. And there are many domains where judgment and decision making could be improved: a JDM scholar could reduce false death sentence convictions in law, fatal misdiagnoses in medicine or disastrous policies in politics, to take a few of countless examples. But despite both the possibility and promise of improving judgment and decision making in these domains, there are many reasons why this can be difficult or impossible for JDM scholars. I will explore some of them here, as well as why I think they sometimes stem from assumptions that are specious—that is, superficially plausible but actually wrong. (A caveat, though: while this blogpost talks of "people", it is not written with any specific "people" in mind--unless otherwise stated.)
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December 2024
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